2/05/2008

What's in a name....

I have recently been considering a name change but I have one major problem, I gave the name I think I need to Schaubs!

Bad-Luck-Schleprock is truly one of Bedrock’s most loved citizens. If it wasn’t for all of the things that happen when he’s around, he’d likely be Grand Poohbah down at The Lodge. But the facts are, the things that happen DO happen and like an impending train wreck, there’s just nothing you can do about it.

When it really starts going bad, I’ll look around to see where he is. Lately though, he’s been nowhere in sight and I have to put the blame solely on myself. This recent run at the tables has kept me up at night. (if you’re a regular reader, YES more than usual!) Last night, it was to the point where I went back to an old training process I used to use with Pebbles some time ago. I did this at 2:30am this morning. If you can’t sleep, might as well do something useful, right?

The process is simple.

1) Shuffle up and deal. (last night I used a 9 player table)
2) Make it real. (blinds and button placed appropriately)
3) Play each hand the way you really would. (ignore up cards of other hands)
4) Measure and record your results. (each position)


How bad has it gotten? Consider that I ran 22 orbits for 9 seat positions, or 198 hand combinations in total dealt out. With 9 seat positions available, here is the breakdown of pocket pairs and reasonable, (A-x..etc..) starting hands dealt out last night.

A-A = 0 .. A-Ks = 0
K-K = 0 .. A-Ko = 2
Q-Q = 0 .. A-Qs = 1
J-J = 1 .. A-Qo = 1
10’s = 0 .. A-Js = 0
9’s = 0 .. A-Jo = 0
8’s = 0 .. K-Qs = 1
7’s = 1 .. Q-Js = 0
6’s = 0 .. J-10s = 1
5’s = 1
4’s = 1
3’s = 0
2’s = 3

I dealt out a whopping 7 pocket pairs in 198 hands. w00t me! Almost 50% of them, were pocket two’s for crying out loud. I kept the Karma running cool with what? Six relatively decent starting hands as well. A total of 6% of the hands dealt out would be considered “playable” starters by the masses. SIX PERCENT ! Split that between 8 players, (the starting button position did not see one of these hands!) and you’ve got what poker is doing to me right now, in a nutshell. A less than one percent chance of seeing a hand in almost 200 dealt. All this, while we consider pocket 2’s as a starting hand.

Are you at the point where you’re wondering, “yeah ok Bam, but what about hand/player distribution?” Yes I also checked to see who was the card rack for the night. You’ll love this.

Seat 1 = (as depressing as the rest of these are, I know this was my seat)
Seat 2 = J-10s, 5-5
Seat 3 = 4-4, A-Ko
Seat 4 = K-Qs
Seat 5 = J-J, A-Qs
Seat 6 = 2-2, 2-2
Seat 7 = 7-7, A-Ko
Seat 8 = A-Qo
Seat 9 = 2-2


As the hands were actually played, the pocket 4’s and 7’s were both beaten by A-Ko. Funny they did it to each other huh? All pocket 2’s were folded after the flop because of flops like A-K-J always seeming to come out. The A-Qs was beaten by the A-Qo that drew Ruuuunnneeeeerrrs. And finally, the J-J managed to hold up against “Presto” by some form of miracle, surely passed down from the Heaven’s.

Oh and in case you haven’t figured it out yet, not one set was made in nearly 200 hands.

Variance my ass! When I see the start to a run of cards come my way, that is the exact opposite of how they’ve run for me over the last few months, you’ll find me in Vegas, at the high stakes tables. I’ll talk about variance then, all you want. As long as I’m still making a decent profit at the tables.

But until that time comes folks……

I am the Anti-Poker hand Overlord.


My sincerest thanks for dropping by….

2/04/2008

The Energizer RnG....

It was just another one of those nights. The TuckFard Open started up with a decent crowd and I made the mistake of playing good cards once again. The best hand I played that I didn't lose, was a desperate, (read frustrated) push with "the Carson" sooted. Of course that BS hit huge and managed to hold on for a triple up. The problem I had was hitting my sooted A-K to the point of a flop of As-9d-Kh to go with my Ad-Kd. Why would I think I was ahead, when there might be a 3s-4s out there willing to push all-in? Of course runner-runner took care of me there.

I then ran A-K sooted into 8-8 with the blinds at 100/200 and I made it 1200 to go. 8-8 is a powerful hand too right? Why not put all the chips in the pot with that, after a 6x raise. RnG figures...."It's Bam, let's have a little fun." A flop of K-6-A oughta' do it, followed by a turn 7 and the ever popular river 8.

It just doesn't matter anymore. I make a move and hit, I lose on the river to an Ace high call. I hit large, lose on the river to a chaser with the nutz. Me an' RnG, we just don't see eye to eye right now.

The worse my cards were tonight, the more success I'd have with them. The better I hit, the more painful the loss would be. It's been a blast RnG, YOU ROCK! Three days in a row of kicking my ass. So let's check the score....

RnG 1,000,000 vs. Bam-Bam $58.50

Nice three days of work. I guess I should play a few hundred games to get even! The odds of variance have to be in my favour, RIGHT? That's probably the right thing to do, but I find live variance is easy to handle. The RnG variance however, is a life sucking bitch from which there is no escape.

The best of the best.....

Omaha H/L and I have K's over Q's........ until the river. Nothing better than that 1 outer case Queen coming on the river to make quads. Sweeeeeeeeeet !

I did however have one great laugh tonight. For a TuckFard, there is no better flop than this one.

This was in the TuckFard Open II, as requested by his Al'ness after an early bust out last week. You ask Sir, the TuckFards deliver.

If you have a spare $3.50 and some time to loosen up your play. Every Monday at 8:00pm. it's The Tuckfard Open II. The game is HORSE............ for Donkeys.

Bring it on!

Special thanks to my invisible buddy pushmonkey. I really appreciate you stopping by for the fun. It's always great to see you at the tables. No matter how my cards are running.

My sincerest thanks for dropping by....

The Super Bowl of bankroll swings....

It was a brutal weekend on the virtual felt and NO ! I do not owe anyone a $1 or $2 for bad beat stories. This is my place to get this crap off my chest and I’m going to do it.

I decided to work on NLHE SnG’s for the weekend. The vast majority being single table 6 max. I played 12 and had one win and one second place finish. The second place was the result of a set vs. set confrontation that I can certainly live with. I had ten bubble-boy finishes. TEN !!!!

What made these so aggravating was the way in which I ended up getting them all. Not one was due to stellar play by my opponents. In six of these games, I was in with made hands such as straights, sets, flushes or at worst, TP ok K. In these particular six games, there was a push into my made hands by the short stack at the table, or a short stack call with no hand what so ever. Not that it was the worst of the beats all weekend, but one of them went back to back like this;

Bam-Bam = $4,800 and posts BB $400
Villian 2 = $2,000 and posts SB $200
Villian 1 = $2,200 button

Bam-Bam = hole cards Qc-Kc
Villian 1 = folds
Villian 2 = calls
Bam-Bam = Bets $800
Villian 2 = calls $800

Flop = 7c-3c-Kh

Bam-Bam = Bets $1,000 (TP solid kicker + 2nd. nut flush draw. 3 handed)
Villian 2 = calls and is all in

Bam-Bam = shows Qc-Kc for a pair of kings.
Villian 2 = shows 2d-Ac for A high (he's beat if I show any Ace, and I’ve already shown strength?)
Villian 2 = nh
Turn = 8c
River = Jc

Bam-Bam = shows a flush King high
Villian 2 = shows a flush Ace high
Villian 2 = wins the pot with a flush Ace high

Villian 1 = SICK !
Villian 2 = sry bad beat
Bam-Bam = it happens (damn hard to type this, but I hate the ranters)

Bam-Bam = $2,600 and posts SB $200
Villian 2 = $4,400 button
Villian 1 = $2,200 and posts BB $400

Bam-Bam = hole cards Ac-Ad
Villian 2 = folds
Bam-Bam = Raises to $1200
Villian 1 = raises to $1,800 and is all in
Bam-Bam = calls $1000

Villian 1 = shows 4c-7s…… (if you can explain this play, I’ll listen)
Bam-Bam = shows Ac-Ad

Villian 1 = holy %#!*
Villian 2 = OMG !

Flop = 4d-As-Ks
Villian 1 = nh vgg gl both
Turn = 4s
River = 4h

Bam-Bam = Shows a full house, Aces and fours
Villian 1 = four of a kind, 4’s.
Villian 1 = wins the pot and Bam-Bam is a crippled stack due to obvious poor play on his part.

This is just how the weekend went at the single table games for me. It was pretty frustrating and I was getting damn close to firing the mouse across the room a few times there. Since Pebbles was near or at my side for most of these hands, the mouse was fairly safe from my building temper.

I decided to jump off the single tables and test the waters of a 45 player MTT instead. Pebbles response to that, “yeah, stay away from the 5 idiots and go search out 44 of them instead.” She had a point, but I ignored it anyways. I waded my way through the field and posted a 4th. place finish after running out of skill, when I ran my K-K into 9-9 and we all know, who can compete with Gretzky?

This run of decent poker play, had me convinced that perhaps a 90 player field would be more to my liking. The look on Pebbles face said it all, but bound and determined to succeed, I register for a 90 player MTT despite her obvious disdain for the idea. Once again I manage to avoid being beaten up too badly during the event, and I managed to make it to the final table. As we got down to four handed, Both of the short stacks made their all in pushes into my BB. I am holding As-Kh and have to give serious consideration to the possibility of taking them both out. I decide to fold and let one of them get eliminated first for certain. They both hold pocket 10’s and chop the pot with two pair. 10’s and Kings! ( I self administer a smack in the head about here somewhere)

They both push again next hand and I have nothing to fight with and I’m forced to fold. The BB let’s them go at it and we lose a player to get to 3. I am middle stack and feel really good about my play. “I think I’m going to win this thing!” I say out loud. How I don’t recognize that confidence as the kiss of death, is beyond me. I ran so card dead that even Carson wouldn’t believe it. 6-2, 7-2, 9-2,10-3 etc…. The blinds were huge and the play 3 handed is quick. I made one play from the button with the 10-3 off suit and had a raise and re-raise come in from behind me. I folded away my little play and had pretty much run myself out of chips to a third place finish. Of course when I go in with a last gasp desperation hand, holding 8-8, The 10-K that calls me hits both cards just for good measure. I finish the event in 3rd. place and don’t really feel too bad about that.

The single table games kicked my bankroll in the nutz all weekend long. But to wade through these 45 and 90 player MTT’s back to back, gives me a little hope that I am improving somewhat in the NLHE MTT’s that I love to play so much. We’ll see.

Don't forget about tonight at the TuckFard Open if you've got $3.50 just lying around doing nothing. The crowds are slowly improving and I know they'd love to see you make it out if you can. All the info is on the banner to the right, or you can stop by HERE if you want as well.

My sincerest thanks for dropping by….